Units, Dollars, Stars, gold plays, platinum plays, double-wager living locks, blah, blah, blah.
Who the F&%K cares about all that crap?
I just want to get you my plays in an easily understood system. So, here it goes:
The plays are rated from 10 dimes to 100 dimes.
A 50 dime play is twice as strong as a 25 dime play.
Your wager for a 50 dime play should be twice as much as a 25 dime play.
Pretty damn simple, right?
The rating scale is simply a unit of measure (i.e. worth) so you know how strong a play is to ME when I release it compared to others either previous or in the future.
How much you play is up to you. That's where bankroll allocation comes into the equation.
Let's say today it's an NFL Sunday and you have $100 to spend. That's it; not a penny more. And that $100 is the most you would bet on a game. Period. Now, if I have a 50 dime play, you're just betting $50 - not $100 - because my play isn't a max wager so your bet shouldn't be either.
Say I win on Sunday and Monday night your bankroll is now sitting at $150 and I come strong with a 100 dime max wager. Do you take all $150 and bet it? F&%K NO. Your max wager is $100. That's what you're playing because should I lose after the vig you're still walking away with $40 over the two days.
Will your max wager change eventually? It could. But only if I build your bankroll. You bet more when that bankroll grows; you bet less when it shrinks. It's all about money-management. And I will "manage" it if you follow my rating system.
Who is Tony Weston?
I am a gambler, just like you.
But unlike you, I'm a handicapper, too.
That means my job is doing the research on teams, personnel and situations all designed to produces a profit over the long haul.
It's not a 9-to-5 job. Never has been. It's 7 days a week, 365 days a year, but no complaints from me because I love it. Been doing it since I was 23-years old and wouldn't do anything else.
It's more than just getting online and studying. Being here in Vegas you've got to keep your ear to the ground, talk to other gamblers and get tips along the way. You need to be able to spot bad lines and bad situations and be ready to pounce on those obvious linemakers' errors. Trust me, oddsmakers make mistakes daily, some big, some small, and they're waiting to be exploited and that's what I do best.
Do I win all the time? Hell no. And anyone who says they do is a F&%King liar. This is a business about turning a profit over the long haul and that's what I'm best at, making money over the course of the month, the season, the year.
Detroit (-3') at WASHINGTON
The Washington Redskins are pathetic, and I truly don't understand how the Detroit Lions are laying just 3 1/2 points. I'll buy the half point down and lay just a field goal, of course, but the Lions should win by 10.
Washington just gave up 400 yards and 34 points Sunday to the New York Jets, who entered with the league’s worst offense. Washington’s defense is allowing opponents to convert on 49.28 percent of third downs - the worst rate in the league.
I would talk about the Lions, but this pick is more so against the Redskins, who have shown no consistency or promise on either side of the ball. They can't protect rookie Dwayne Haskins, who was sacked six times by the Jets. They can't stop anybody, see the stat above. Their special teams is anything but special.
Detroit is in after a valiant effort against the Dallas Cowboys, but couldn't come through with an upset. Detroit has now lost six of its last seven games, and this is a perfect opportunity for the Lions to get a critical win.
Jeff Driskel threw for 209 yards and two touchdowns against the Cowboys, and finished with a passer rating of 109.3 for the game. He also ran for 51 yards on eight carries. Overall, the Lions have the eighth-best offense in football, with 379.9 yards per game.
Look for Detroit to have its way with the Redskins and win this by double digits.
Based on 1♦ to 5♦ Rating