I Played College Ball
Let My Experience Guide You!
Winning Day # 9 of 13 Since Debut
50 Dime
College Winner # 4 of 5
Arizona at Kansas State - 8:00 ET
College Winner # 5 of 6 this Year
MATCHES 50 Dime College Winner
Arizona St. (+2') 31-28 at Texas St. last night
MATCHES 50 Dime College Winner
- BC (+16') 28-13 at Fla St. - 9/2 -
STRONGER than Wednesday's 40 Dime Winner
- Tigers (RL +105) 7-4 over Rockies -
Daily Play Recap
9/12 - 50 Dime - Arizona State - Win
9/11 - 40 Dime - Tigers (+105 RL) - Win
9/10 - 50 Dime - Astros (RL +110) - Loss
9/9 - 40 Dime - 49ers-Jets Under - Loss
9/8 - 100 Dime - Lions - Win
9/7 - 100 Dime - Nebraska - Win
9/6 - 40 Dime - Eagles-Packers Over - Win
9/5 - 40 Dime - Chiefs-Ravens Over - Push
9/4 - 50 Dime - Brewers (-120) - Loss
9/3 - 50 Dime - Diamondbacks - Win
9/2 - 50 Dime - Boston College - Win
9/1 - 50 Dime LSU (-130) - Loss
8/31 - 50 Dime - Nebraska - Win
1st-Ever NFL 100 Dime Max Wager Release
- Rams (-3') 26-20 over Rams (9/6) -
- Check out my Analysis -
The price on this first Sunday night primetime game between the Rams and the Lions opened with Detroit favored by -3 1/2 and as I type my analysis the line has moved to Detroit -4 1/2 points. A little "puffy" considering these teams played a very tight game on this field in January in the postseason as the Lions took it 24-23 as the field goal home favorite, but the Rams took it at the ticket window.
Could it be a similar scenario tonight? Of course, this is gambling and there are no "sure things," but the Rams do come into this game missing a BIG piece of their defense this season as Aaron Donald the future Hall of Famer is now retired and will not be on the field to anchor this defense that is likely breaking in 5 new starters that will include a pair of rookies along the line.
That spells trouble if you ask me, especially against a Lions offense that retained their offensive coordinator Ben Johnson, who was on plenty of teams' shortlist to take over somewhere this season as a head coach.
Detroit is gone 9-4 against the spread since the 2022 season as a home favorite, while Los Angeles is only 1-6-2 against the spread as a non-division road dog in the same span. That cover? It was the aforementioned playoff loss in January.
Sure, the Matthew Stafford/Jared Goff angle will be spoken of once again, but we went down that road last year, so it's not likely to be as big of a deal. Stafford does have the receiving corps to trade points tonight against Detroit's suspect secondary, but I believe the Lions are just a little further along in completeness as a team, and I like them to cover tonight.
Last year the early primetime trend was to play the underdogs but so far this week, BOTH favorites - Chiefs on Thursday and Eagles on Friday covered - and on Sunday night last year the season opened with a pair of favorites covering as chalks covered 6 of the first 9 games overall a year ago.
Lay the wood.
1st-Ever College 100 Dime Max Wager Release
- Nebraska (-7') 28-10 over Colorado (9/7) -
- Check out my Analysis -
I debuted last Saturday (Week 1) with Nebraska as 50 Dimer at home getting the win and cover over UTEP, 40-7.
I am going to the well again with Matt Rhule and his Cornhuskers in a MAJOR, MAJOR REVENGE SPOT!
Last year in Rhule's first season in Lincoln, his team opened with a hard-fought 13-10 loss at Minnesota as the Golden Gophers kicked the game-winning field goal from 47 yards out as time expired. Nine days later the Huskers went to Boulder, Colorado for their much-hyped meeting with Deion Sanders' Buffs who the week prior toppled TCU, 45-42 as the 3-touchdown underdogs on the road.
Colorado didn't hold back, as the Buffaloes pounded the Cornhuskers, 36-14, and there were some unkind words (to put it kindly) spoken by both Rhule and Sanders after that contest.
It's PAYBACK TIME tonight in Lincoln, where Rhule has already told the locals they should show up and be "Nebraska Nice" to Sanders and his Buffs. This game kicks at 7:30 p.m. Eastern, and it's safe to assume that Husker Nation will be good and oiled for this kickoff.
Colorado showed resolve in beating back an opening week challenge from FCS heavyweight North Dakota State, as the Bison flirted with the outright win before bowing 31-26 as the +11 1/2 point underdogs.
Earlier in the day, Nebraska debuted with true freshman quarterback Dylan Raiola, who looked mighty good. While Raiola is not in the class of Shadeur Sanders at this point in his career, and while Travis Hunter is easily the best player on the field, I am siding all night long with the home team minus the points.
Nebraska has lost at home to Colorado in 2018 and has also lost to Colorado in Boulder both last season, and in overtime in 2019. So make this TRIPLE revenge for the Huskers who are up for the win and the cover tonight as the solid touchdown-plus home favorites.
Winning Day # 9 of 13 Since Debut
50 Dime
College Winner # 4 of 5
Arizona at Kansas State - 8:00 ET
College Winner # 5 of 6 this Year
MATCHES 50 Dime College Winner
Arizona St. (+2') 31-28 at Texas St.
MATCHES 50 Dime College Winner
BC (+16') 28-13 at Fla St. - 9/2
STRONGER than Wednesday's
40 Dime Winner - Tigers (RL +105)
7-4 over Rockies
$99
It didn't look good trailing 21-7 in the 2nd quarter in front of the home crowd in San Marcos, but the Sun Devils held strong and in the end walked away on the short week as the 31-28 outright winners at Texas State.
Just have to keep winning.
Winning Day # 9 of 13 Since Debut
50 Dime
College Winner # 4 of 5
Arizona at Kansas State - 8:00 ET
College Winner # 5 of 6 this Year
MATCHES 50 Dime College Winner
Arizona St. (+2') 31-28 at Texas St. last night
MATCHES 50 Dime College Winner
- BC (+16') 28-13 at Fla St. - 9/2 -
STRONGER than Wednesday's 40 Dime Winner
- Tigers (RL +105) 7-4 over Rockies -
This Friday winner sets the table for the rest of the football weekend.
Winners on Wednesday and Thursday already, time for a Friday night winner.
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Big Mike's Tompkin's Rating System
My focus, like any smart strategist, is on long-term success and building consistent profit over time.
As a seasoned analyst and former player, I like to keep things straightforward. That's why I developed the Yardage Rating System. It’s simple, intuitive, and keeps plays in perspective, just like measuring progress on the field.
At the top of my scale is the 100-yard play. This is my strongest recommendation, the kind of insight that doesn’t come along every day, but can make a significant impact when it does.
Now I realize listing a play in terms of "yards" is somewhat confusing, although I think conceptually it so much simpler that any "star" system that others use. So, for sake of clarity, I will bow down to pressure and substitute the word "dimes" for "yards" as so many other handicappers do at this site.
Back to my system....
When I have smaller releases, like 50- or 75-yard plays, they shouldn’t be overlooked. Their value is all about context, how I’m reading the game at that moment in relation to the current state of our bankroll.
Remember, it’s always about perspective. Each play has its place. Understanding that is key to making the most of my analysis.
Who is "Big Mike" Tompkins?
I've been in and around sports my entire life. Played three years of college football at the FCS level as a defensive lineman. At 6-7, 270 you know why they called me "Big Mike." Played basketball, too. After graduation, I was invited to the Buffalo Bills training camp, but an injury ended those dreams. I did, however, spend a few years playing Arena Football before I called it a career.
Bottom Line: I PLAYED the game. I KNOW the game.
With years of experience on the field and behind the scenes, I bring you an unmatched blend of knowledge and expert analysis. Understanding game strategies provides me insight and an edge when handicapping. I offer daily analysis that goes beyond the numbers.
Today's Complimentary Play
Last December the Rebels and the Jayhawks let it rip in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl in Arizona as the Jayhawks prevailed 49-36 in a game whose total was 65 points.
The same teams will have at it again tonight in Lawrence with a total of 58 points, and I don't think tonight's regular season meeting is going to eclipse the number this time around.
UNLV is certainly not scoring another 72 points the way they did on Saturday at home against someone named Utah Tech in a game that sailed Over the posted total. The week prior the Rebs held the Houston Cougars to a single score in a 27-7 final that landed well Under the total.
Kansas has played a pair of games this year, and BOTH of them landed Under the total. 5 of the Jayhawks' last 7 games dating back to last season have held Under the posted price, and I think this rematch of the wild Bowl game does too.
Go Low on Friday night.
2♦ UNLV-KANSAS UNDER
(On a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)