On Tuesday (10/28) I personally opened your NBA betting season with an easy winner on the Pelicans in a blowout of the Magic.
The regular price was $99. You got it for FREE.
Now it's time for you to pay it forward.
Since starting the Charity Play of the Week Program in March of 2012, I have given away over $5-million (yes, MILLION) worth of selections at this site. And the response has been overwhelming because you have helped so many strangers in times of trouble with a helping hand financially.
That's why I say we have come together to build a community of caregivers
You got the winner for FREE from me on Tuesday and now it's quid pro quo time as I ask you to make a donation to someone in a time of need.
Sebastian Major, a 13-year-old boy from Illinois, was diagnosed with Stage 4 Neuroblastoma back in October of 2011. He underwent nearly three years of treatments as his family brought him to medical centers in St. Louis, Cincinnati, Springfield and Chicago.
Sebastian and his family have recently made the decision to stop chemotherapy treatments and are now managing his pain through hospice care with five-day-a-week radiation that began this week.
As you can imagine, the financial toll caused by medical and travel expenses, not to mention lost wages, has been burdened the family.
I want you to read what his mother, Dana, wrote a few months ago in her frequent updates at the donation site:
"....the financial assistance we receive helps to alleviate a little bit of our everyday stressers. Having the scariness of Bastian's illness as a constant in our world, it's incredibly helpful to not have to worry about being short on gas or groceries each month. So a big THANK YOU to everyone who continues to give us a hand. It is NEVER unappreciated or unnoticed."
Now I'm asking you to help this family out in their time of need.
Click on the link below. Then click on the arrow at the bottom right of the picture of the two boys. It will launch a video which you can fast forward through and see Sebastian in a hospital bed with more lines and ports than you can imagine.
Now tell me how you can't give something after I made you money again for FREE on Tuesday.
You can make a donation here::
Donations are being accepted via Pay Pal or by credit card. Just click on the big orange CONTRIBUTE button at the above link to give.
The Charity Play of the Week program grew out of my own personal gift-giving philosophy. For 20 years I've been a consistent contributor to both national groups like St. Jude's, Make A Wish and Special Olympics, among others, plus families and individuals I simply read about in newspapers across the country whose plight I was exposed to while researching games as a handicapper.
I was giving away money that I made from being in this business and it dawned on me that I could create a community of givers from those that gamble using my advice and that of the handicappers at this site.
The word "gambling" has many negative connotations, but I always believed there was some greater good that could be accomplished while enjoying what we do for recreation. And the accompanying positive karma is something we call could use in all phases of our lives.
As always, this is an honor-based giveaway. I don't know who you are or whether you actually give. Ultimately, you have to look in the mirror and be accountable for yourself.
When you donate I will have no idea who are, what you gave, when you gave it, etc. However, I started your NBA season with a $99 winner for FREE on Tuesday and now it's your turn to reciprocate.
9 of 12 Winning Football Seasons
(NFL & College Combined)
Biggest NBA Plays Since 2009
15 Dime Releases
Most Recent Release
Winner - Oklahoma City in series vs. LA Clippers
10 DIME AAC LOCK
Gave you free winners on the Saints and Florida State on the Video Report on Thursday.... and then flopped with my 15 Dimer on the Cavaliers laying double-digits in a straight-up home loss to the Knicks.
And you wonder why I don't like LeBron?
5-for-15? 8 Turnovers? I don't care about the stress or pressure or the magnitude of his return. He brought it all on himself so deal with it.
And how about Cleveland's fans? If he was the prodigal son returning to Philadelphia the City of Brotherly Love would have booed him relentlessly by the fourth quarter.
So after catching 10 dimers in the NBA on Tuesday and Wednesday I ended up dropping 16.5 dimes last night.
You know what? I can live with that because I was only in position to go with the 15 dimer on the Cavs because I had started the betting week with those two straight 10 dime winners, one of which you got for FREE and the other that you got for $34.
Short-term the overall run is 12 of 18 winning days.
Long-term it's 43 of 68 profitable days.
Back to football tonight. Ironically, I scored with Cincinnati last Friday as a 10 dime home chalk and followed on Saturday with Memphis as a 15 dime road favorite. Tonight they're both favored once more, but the Bearcats are on the road while the Tigers are playing host.
I've always had a thing about playing a team in back-to-backs (either days or games), so I'm shying away from the Memphis game tonight, which I will instead breakdown for you on my Video Report (available by 3 PM Eastern). Instead, I'm going to go with a 10 dimer on the Cincy-Tulane game.
29-12 roll with 10 dime releases over the past nine weeks in all sports.
Charity Play of the Week
Wins Again on Tuesday
Time for you to make a Donation
You got my NBA season-opening winner on the Pelicans
in a blowout of the Magic - a $99 pick - for FREE
Donation details on my homepage
or make a donation here......
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Over the 25 years I've been doing this, one of the biggest misconceptions I've encountered from customers is their belief that winningpercentageactually matters in this business. Bottom line is that a straight-up winning percentage means absolutely nothing when your handicapper - such as myself - releases rated selections. Read further and you'll understand why.
I use the "dime" rating system, going in 5 dime increments, generally keeping those plays between 5 and 50 dimes. Yes, that's a wide range, but truth be told, I usually max out around 30 dimes, rarely venturing into the rarefied air toward 50 dimes unless I've built a substantial bankroll. Doing anything different would be irresponsible bankroll management on my part and a total disservice toward you, my clients.
I like to keep it simple from a money-management system so my customers can always know exactly how they should beallocatingtheir bankroll in proportion to the rating I assign to a selection.
Obviously, a 50 Dime play is five times stronger than a 10 Dime release and twice as strong as a 25 Dime pick.
And each day when you see my compiling or mentioning my NET profit figures, keep in mind I've computing them based on the following formula:
Net Profit = Wins - Losses- Vig
Of course let's not forget my golden rule of gambling: Never bet more than you can afford to lose. No rating system - including mine - is effective unless you pay attention to that rule. By heeding my advice you can never fall into a financial abyss from which there is no escape.
A question gamblers always pose is "How much should I be playing?" Obviously, there is no set, firm answer, but my advice would be to follow my money management system and base the size of your wagers on a percentage of your total bankroll.
Let me explain further...
Take your total bankroll - the amount you can afford to lose in an absolute worst case scenario on a single day. Let's say it's $400 on a college football Saturday. And on that Saturday I release a 50 Dime play and two 20 Dime picks.
Let's do some quick math...I've got atotalof 90 dimes of action on the table (one 50 dime play and two 20 dimers). You've got amaximum one-day bankrollof $400. Simply divide the $400 by the 90 dimes and you've got a per dime wager of $4.44.
Now it's time for some simple multiplication. If a dime is worth $4.44, my 50 Dime rated release equals approximately a $222 wager on your part. And my two 20 Dime rates picks equal approximately $88.88 wagers each. Add everything back up and you've got your initial $400 bankroll all over again.
This obviously all applies to a single wagering day. It's up to you to figure out how to allocate your bankroll over the course of a week or month.
Now, back to how inconsequential winning percentages can be: Let's say I have a 50 Dime play and three 10 Dime releases on an NFL Sunday. If I win the 50 Dime play and go 0-3 with the 10 Dime releases, my overall record is a dismal 1-3 but my net profit is a healthy 17 dimes. Conversely, let's say I lose the 50 Dime play and go 3-0 with the 10 Dime releases. My overall record is an impressive 3-1, but my net profit is a negative -25 dimes.
Which would you prefer, the losing record and winning day, or the winning record or losing day?
Believe what you want, but I'm telling you the truth: Winning percentage means nothing in this business as the above illustration will prove time and time again. Of course, crafty salesmen masquerading as handicappers can spin gold using the second scenario, but I feel it's my job to educate you about what is the TRUTH in this business - whether you become my customer or not.
Watch my Daily Video for my complimentary selection backed my in-depth analysis. It's Free and available by 2:00 P.M. Eastern on Weekdays and 10:00 A.M. Eastern on Weekends.